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  Commitments of Traders · Adopt Warnings And Reminders!

Maybe it's really simple and stupid, please do not use it trading your money!


In theory:

the large trading institutions should judge the Forex market to be less wrong and few mistakes.

However

I continued to track the Commitments of Traders (COT) reports for 10 years (2007-2017) and found that the major traders' Forex trading direction are not successful in most of the time.

An important reasons may be:

in the event of an emergency, state intervention, the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and the central bank  make markets operations, etc.. So big market traders also can not judge the market direction, they may be suffer losses like ordinary traders,  they may be suffer torment of the trend reversal as ordinary traders.

The truth is:

the Forex futures market is only a part of the total Forex market and does not represent the overall trend of the Forex market. However, there are Cot data available than not. The more information you have, the greater the chance of a successful forex trading you have.

Even so, you should be careful to use the Commitments of Traders (COT) reports to trading your money. Why?

Large institutions have big funds, they have advantages in the capital pool. And the Forex futures position trading, only have service fee and no overnight interest rate, which is also advantageous in holding the positions for the longer time. The foreign exchange margin trading overnight interest rates, huge positions, the direction of the reverse rate, only the overnight interest rate differential will make you bankrupt. And Forex margin trading have overnight interest rates, huge positions, reverse interest rate direction, only the accumulation of overnight interest rates will make you bankrupt.

Attached to the Commitments of Traders (COT) reports, please refer to!


Commitments of Traders

A breakdown of each Tuesday's open interest for markets; in which 20 or more traders hold positions equal to or above the reporting levels established by the CFTC.

Released: Fridays; 3:30pm EST

The Commitments of Traders (COT) reports provide a breakdown of each Tuesday's open interest for markets in which 20 or more traders hold positions equal to or above the reporting levels established by the CFTC.

Reports are available in both a short and long format. The short report shows open interest separately by reportable and nonreportable positions. For reportable positions, additional data is provided for commercial and non-commercial holdings, spreading, changes from the previous report, percents of open interest by category, and numbers of traders.

The long report, in addition to the information in the short report, groups the data by crop year, where appropriate, and shows the concentration of positions held by the largest four and eight traders.

The Large Trader Net Position Changes and the Trading Account Net Position Changes data provides the public with a view of the amount of trading that results in net changes to positions at the trader level and at the account level. The data reflects trading that changes or creates an end-of-day position, as contrasted with trading that does not change a trader's end-of-day net position, such as spread or day trading. This data release should provide the public, academia and traders with further insight into market liquidity.